On the night of January 8th, January 9th early morning for this side of the globe, the 64th Annual Golden Globe Awards – the first major international award ceremony of the year – will take place at the Beverly Hilton in California. Nominations were declared earlier this week, and it came as no surprise as the usual suspects led the race, with Damien Chazelle’s dreamy La La Land scoring 7 nominations and dramatic frontrunners Moonlight as well as Manchester By The Sea scoring 5 each.
The Globes is seen as a precursor to the Oscars, but the Hollywood Foreign Press Association’s choices are often far less predictable, and a little more inventive, than the Academy’s. It comes with the turf though, given that there is a ‘comedy and musical’ category separate from the main ‘drama’ category; it’s hard to pinpoint the frontrunners because the top two favorites usually win an award each because of this generous categorization.
Here are my predictions for this weekend, listed category-wise (only films), with the winners and a short write-up:
Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
In any other year, the raunchy hysterical Marvel superhero comedy Deadpool would have walked away with this one. John Carney’s (director of Once) Sing Street is a delightful little 1980s coming-of-age film, too. But La La Land has this one secured. It’s a shoo-in for this main award. The real contest will be at the Oscars, when it will be nominated in the same ‘Best Film’ category as Moonlight and the others.
Should Win: LA LA LAND
Will Win: LA LA LAND
Best Motion Picture – Drama
It’ll be a direct shootout between Manchester By The Sea and Moonlight, with the moody modern western, Hell Or High Water, as a dark horse. There is no Scorsese’s Silence, and no Fences or American Honey either.
Should Win: Manchester By The Sea
Will Win: MOONLIGHT
Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language
The category of the cinephiles. It’ll come down to a close one between the audacious Elle (France), the poignant Toni Erdmann (Germany) and of course The Salesman (Iran). Pablo Lorrain’s Neruda (Spain) is a dark horse, but considered too left-field for a win.
Should Win: ELLE
Will Win: TONI ERDMANN
Best Motion Picture – Animated
The quirky Zootopia will probably compete with Moana, but not many are aware of how brilliant the French-Swiss stop-motion film My Life As A Zucchini is. A sure-shot winner, this one. No Disney, Pixar or Dreamworks this time.
Should/Will Win: MY LIFE AS A ZUCCHINI
Best Supporting Actress
A tough, tough one. This category always is. Between Viola Davis (Fences), Naomie Harris (Moonlight) and Michelle Williams (Manchester By The Sea), it could be anyone’s night. Williams was the initial frontrunner, but Harris is now gathering momentum because of Mahershala Ali’s headlining performance in the same film.
Should Win: MICHELLE WILLIAMS (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)
Will Win: NAOMIE HARRIS (MOONLIGHT)
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali has taken almost everything leading up to this night. Perhaps his closest (and still far) competitor is the inimitable ‘dude’ Jeff Bridges for Hell Or High Water. But that’s still a long shot.
Should/Will Win: MAHERSHALA ALI (MOONLIGHT)
This will be a close call between Kenneth Lonergan for his grief-drama and Barry Jenkins for his elliptical racial drama. This isn’t a category for musicals and genre films as such.
Should Win: KENNETH LONERGAN (MANCHESTER BY THE SEA)
Will Win: BARRY JENKINS (MOONLIGHT)
This is where La La Land will be tested, but could just come out on top, given that Chazelle’s earlier film, Whiplash, was ignored by virtue of his ‘newness’ two years ago. This category will decide whether it’s the night of Moonlight or La La Land. Will the mood tilt towards somber or joyous for the main trophy?
Should/Will Win: DAMIEN CHAZELLE (LA LA LAND)
Other off-hand-ish predictions:
Best Original Score
Should Win: ARRIVAL
Will Win: LION
Best Original Song
Should/Will Win: CITY OF STARS (LA LA LAND)
Best TV Series – Drama
Should Win: THE CROWN, STRANGER THINGS
Will Win: GAME OF THRONES
Best Actor in a Limited Series – Drama
Should Win: John Turturro (THE NIGHT OF)
Will Win: Tom Hiddleston (THE NIGHT MANAGER)
Best Actress in a Limited Series – Drama
Should Win: Riley Keough (THE GIRLFRIEND EXPERIENCE)
Will Win: Sarah Paulson (PEOPLE VS O.J. SIMPSON)
Best Actor in a TV Series – Drama
Should Win: Liev Schreiber (RAY DONOVAN)
Will Win: Rami Malek (MR. ROBOT)
Best Actress in a TV Series – Drama
Should Win: Winona Ryder (STRANGER THINGS)
Will Win: Claire Foy (THE CROWN)